Tim Sherwood: “85% of the teams who concede first lose”

Miguel Delaney picked up on a nugget of Tim Sherwood gold after Aston Villa’s defeat to Chelsea today:

Sherwood: “First goal is the most important, 85% of the teams who concede first lose.”

— Miguel Delaney (@MiguelDelaney) October 17, 2015

I thought I’d run the numbers for various leagues I have available:

First to Concede Games Losses Draws Wins
Home 2731 1704 (62.4%) 595 432
Away 3696 2738 (74.1%) 645 313
Total 6427 4442 (69.1%) 1240 745

In the Premier League alone since 2011, away teams have trailed first 946 times and gone on to lose 682 times, 72.1% of time. So he’s not enormously far off, but far enough that it’s clear he’s making it up.

Tim Sherwood, 85% of the time, he’s right every time.

Tim Sherwood: “85% of the teams who concede first lose”

Review: Xpelair WHP210 Digitemp Air Conditioning and Heating Unit

Xpelair WHP210 Digitemp Air Conditioning and Heating

The Xpelair WHP210 Digitemp Air Conditioning and Heating Unit is an affordable and reliable unit, perfect for statisticians and analysts alike. Requiring only two vents and a drainage hole, it can be situated on any level of a gleaming ivory tower, as far away from real football men as necessary.

Our review unit was extremely quiet and performed admirably at a variety of temperature settings. It warmed us overnight as we watched live feeds of diminutive Argentinian playmakers judged by our neolithic scouting department to be lacking the physicality ever to truly perform in the Premier League. It cooled us in the blazing warmth of the the early-season sun, as we frantically texted expected goals calculations to the smartphone stranded forlornly in the manager’s pocket as he gesticulated on the touchline for the team to show more character.

A pinch at £1600, the WHP210 comes with a two year manufacturer’s warranty.

Review: Xpelair WHP210 Digitemp Air Conditioning and Heating Unit