Having descended into the quagmire of defensive metrics and never really returned, I thought it was about time to break my 2016 duck and publish something. Given that I occasionally spot people arguing in obscure forums pointing at the last iteration, I thought it was time to update my keeper ratings:
Keeper | Mins | Shots | Saves | Goals | Save % | Expected Saves | ± Expected | Average Difficulty | Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Bunn | 188 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 3.87 | 1.13 | 35.56 | 129.32 |
Fraser Forster | 188 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0.86 | 0.14 | 14.45 | 116.89 |
Michel Vorm | 94 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0.86 | 0.14 | 14.06 | 116.36 |
Karl Darlow | 94 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 2.62 | 0.38 | 34.53 | 114.56 |
Paulo Gazzaniga | 187 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 7.07 | 0.93 | 35.72 | 113.14 |
Alex McCarthy | 565 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 85% | 26.28 | 2.72 | 22.70 | 110.34 |
Sergio Romero | 375 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 6.47 | 0.53 | 28.14 | 108.24 |
Darren Randolph | 286 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 7.43 | 0.57 | 38.08 | 107.67 |
Adrián | 1790 | 89 | 69 | 20 | 78% | 64.11 | 4.89 | 27.96 | 107.62 |
Joe Hart | 1871 | 60 | 46 | 14 | 77% | 43.38 | 2.62 | 27.71 | 106.05 |
Hugo Lloris | 1963 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 76% | 48.10 | 2.90 | 28.20 | 106.02 |
Jack Butland | 1972 | 100 | 78 | 22 | 78% | 73.66 | 4.34 | 26.34 | 105.89 |
Declan Rudd | 751 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 70% | 26.51 | 1.49 | 33.73 | 105.63 |
Petr Cech | 1967 | 86 | 68 | 18 | 79% | 66.03 | 1.97 | 23.22 | 102.99 |
Kelvin Davis | 95 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 4.87 | 0.13 | 30.43 | 102.67 |
David de Gea | 1591 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 72% | 44.98 | 1.02 | 29.72 | 102.27 |
Heurelho Gomes | 1948 | 83 | 60 | 23 | 72% | 59.92 | 0.08 | 27.80 | 100.13 |
Thibaut Courtois | 997 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 69% | 35.99 | 0.01 | 30.79 | 100.03 |
Costel Pantilimon | 1599 | 103 | 71 | 32 | 69% | 71.01 | -0.01 | 31.06 | 99.99 |
Kasper Schmeichel | 2079 | 86 | 60 | 26 | 70% | 60.21 | -0.21 | 29.99 | 99.66 |
Artur Boruc | 1604 | 62 | 38 | 24 | 61% | 38.25 | -0.25 | 38.31 | 99.35 |
Tim Howard | 2069 | 107 | 75 | 32 | 70% | 77.08 | -2.08 | 27.96 | 97.30 |
John Ruddy | 1316 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60% | 39.45 | -1.45 | 37.37 | 96.31 |
Wayne Hennessey | 1498 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66% | 34.45 | -1.45 | 31.11 | 95.80 |
Tim Krul | 754 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 67% | 34.61 | -1.61 | 29.36 | 95.34 |
Lukasz Fabianski | 1979 | 85 | 56 | 29 | 66% | 59.45 | -3.45 | 30.06 | 94.19 |
Vito Mannone | 376 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 65% | 15.94 | -0.94 | 30.69 | 94.09 |
Boaz Myhill | 2077 | 92 | 63 | 29 | 68% | 66.98 | -3.98 | 27.19 | 94.05 |
Simon Mignolet | 1889 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 65% | 44.66 | -2.66 | 31.29 | 94.04 |
Robert Elliot | 1224 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 67% | 44.82 | -2.82 | 28.86 | 93.72 |
Willy Caballero | 187 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 71% | 12.83 | -0.83 | 24.55 | 93.55 |
Asmir Begovic | 1079 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 66% | 35.75 | -2.75 | 28.50 | 92.31 |
Brad Guzan | 1897 | 99 | 64 | 35 | 65% | 71.53 | -7.53 | 27.75 | 89.48 |
Maarten Stekelenburg | 1599 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 61% | 34.38 | -4.38 | 29.83 | 87.26 |
Jordan Pickford | 93 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 8.10 | -1.10 | 26.40 | 86.47 |
Adam Federici | 422 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 46% | 13.16 | -2.16 | 45.15 | 83.56 |
Adam Bogdan | 93 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 2.90 | -0.90 | 42.03 | 69.00 |
So many narratives, so little time:
- If only they’d dropped Guzan sooner – Bunn in his tiny sample has risen to the top of the class. Similarly, Southampton have finally got Forster back again and they too aren’t looking back.
- Tim Howard isn’t that bad, get over it.
- Petr Cech isn’t single-handedly winning Arsenal the title, get over it.
- Jordan Pickford didn’t have the best of times deputising for Costel Pantilimon, the mathematical definition of the average goalkeeper.
- Artur Boruc has slowly clawed his way back, and Bournemouth are no longer conceding every time their opponents so much as look at the ball.
- Someone needs to rescue Alex McCarthy, he should have been going to the Euros this Summer.
- Adrian is a pretty solid number 1 given the minutes under his belt.
Anyway, apologies for the wait. Lots of stuff I can’t talk about is going on behind the scenes, but there will be some cool stuff up here soon enough. Well, hopefully.
Pickford made some great saves, though. Not much he could do about the ones that went in
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